This bet has landed in 5/7 of Torres' games for City this season (cup and league) and he seems to be consistently hitting the target. A big part of this may also be due to the fact that he is starting to get more implemented in City's team as a striker rather than a winger which could get him in better finishing positions more consistently. I expect him to play the majority if not all minutes which he seems to do more against big clubs (played full 90 against both Arsenal and Spurs). Other bookmakers don't offer this higher than 1.83, many way below.